Developments Ukraine 3rd of February

ISW sees air attacks as most probable option https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/putin%E2%80%99s-likely-course-action-ukraine-updated-course-action-assessment

Half of russian army amassed near Ukraine and Belarus https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488976542034182147

Russian letter to Ireland https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488919913448230918

Iskander in Belarus https://twitter.com/Ozkok_A/status/1488980508163858437

Russia parks LNG tanker near Kaliningrad https://twitter.com/tmarzecmanser/status/1488797385585213440 contingency against sanctions

The FT has more https://www.ft.com/content/646b11bc-1955-4222-9f24-92ed95490c04

Morej jamming equipment https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1489079974388772864?cxt=HHwWgMC5uZyWo6opAAAA

Lots of videos with ROSGVARDIA en route to Ukraine.

Developments Ukraine 2nd of February

Russia mobilizes national guard ROSGVARDIA https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1488859411552612352

Also here https://twitter.com/CITeam_en/status/1488802429151809536

Troops from Chechnya on the way to Krasnodar https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488868544737595392?cxt=HHwWgMCy5bKDw6kpAAAA

geo localization https://twitter.com/kromark/status/1488863143732424707

Maskirovka https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1488717605238099975?cxt=HHwWjsCy8cex_qgpAAAA

British supreme commander sees „land, sea & air exercises, on a scale never seen before“ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488512514728120322

Heightened activity of russian trolls on Twitter. Hardly a post without a first commentary with russian friendly sound.

EW-system in Belarus https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488745284243005442

Explanation on Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krasukha_(electronic_warfare_system)

Wagner-mercenaries are leaving Africa en route to Ukraine https://www.yahoo.com/news/notorious-russian-mercenaries-pulled-africa-014749545.html?

NATO weak in Baltic States https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/02/nato-baltic-states-sea-russia-military-defense/

Developments Ukraine 1st of February Part II

Russia stops exports of Ammonium nitrate for two months beginning 2nd of February https://twitter.com/kannbwx/status/1488587024755924992 AN is used for fertilizers, explosives and rocket propellants

Source Interfax https://www.interfax.ru/business/819664

Nine recce fligths today https://twitter.com/ameliairheart/status/1488595550740140040?cxt=HHwWkMC-gYfxxqgpAAAA

Pentagon see Russia ready to rumble  https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488608100080762888?cxt=HHwWkICq8cLLzKgpAAAA

Boris Johnson speaks of „clear and present danger“ https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488592331343290374?cxt=HHwWjICz0dS1xagpAAAA

United Emirates are an important hub for Russian weapons https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1488600200419717120

Experts estimate 180.000 to 200.000 Russiand troops amassed near Ukraine https://twitter.com/MarkUrban01/status/1488572832422445058

Heightened helicopter activity at Kerch https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1488472366397153285?cxt=HHwWioCzkeTujqgpAAAA

Developments Ukraine 1st of February

Open Facto exposes Psyops-Net of GRU https://twitter.com/openfacto/status/1486829290301931525?cxt=HHwWioC-oZXXo6IpAAAA

Fears for undersea cables https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/cord-cutting-russian-style-could-the-kremlin-sever-global-internet-cables/

NATO-Recce yesterday https://twitter.com/ameliairheart/status/1488287400451362817

Rochan Consulting counts 52 Iskander TELs near Ukraine https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488255448084062210

The answer drom Moscow https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/01/31/russia-responds-writing-us-proposal-ukraine-crisis/

Developments Ukraine 31st of January

The fifth arms delivery from the US in Kiev https://twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/1488248084995969028

The russian way of refueling https://motolko.help/en-news/gas-stations-oil-refinery-and-tapping-into-a-pipeline-where-are-russian-troops-refueling-in-belarus/

Poland promises to deliver weapons to Ukraine https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1488127253506510849?cxt=HHwWgsCq3cj28aYpAAAA

Baltic Fleet is transporting four patrol craft by Land to the Black Sea https://twitter.com/hengenahm/status/1487804404409507841

NATO-reconnaisance yesterday https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1487869979626283016 . Remarkable: no manned flights directly over Ukraine.

Newest map of russian troop build up https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1OfM8ZWPjkwye9sCdeE7Z5hrI7Hlsu4Kr&ll=54.36642224455288%2C34.47422157952779&z=5

Last position of russian amphibian group in the mediterranean sea https://twitter.com/galandecZP/status/1487880968438534146/photo/1

Precautionary measures in the Ukraine https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1487884990679506949

Absolutely not verifiable https://twitter.com/ruslantrad/status/1488073033986289669

Nuclear cniffing plane WC-135W ‚Constant Phoenix‘ in RAF Mildenhall https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/american-nuke-sniffer-aircraft-arrives-in-the-uk/

Very rare! ACAMO plane sends messages to submerged strategic submarines https://twitter.com/vcdgf555/status/1205602551598469120 The plane is using a five kilometer long towed array for very long frequancy communication. It has to fly circles inorder to get the antenna hanging straight down.

Here the reason for the TACAMO circling https://twitter.com/nukestrat/status/1487912849724907527?cxt=HHwWjoC9idC2kKYpAAAA

General ret. Ben Hodges in Kiev https://twitter.com/general_ben

Empty roads at the border to belarus ans Russia https://twitter.com/nolanwpeterson/status/1487101350513045505?cxt=HHwWgsCr5ZOzn6MpAAAA