Developments Ukraine 3rd of February

ISW sees air attacks as most probable option https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/putin%E2%80%99s-likely-course-action-ukraine-updated-course-action-assessment

Half of russian army amassed near Ukraine and Belarus https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488976542034182147

Russian letter to Ireland https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488919913448230918

Iskander in Belarus https://twitter.com/Ozkok_A/status/1488980508163858437

Russia parks LNG tanker near Kaliningrad https://twitter.com/tmarzecmanser/status/1488797385585213440 contingency against sanctions

The FT has more https://www.ft.com/content/646b11bc-1955-4222-9f24-92ed95490c04

Morej jamming equipment https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1489079974388772864?cxt=HHwWgMC5uZyWo6opAAAA

Lots of videos with ROSGVARDIA en route to Ukraine.

Developments Ukraine 2nd of February

Russia mobilizes national guard ROSGVARDIA https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1488859411552612352

Also here https://twitter.com/CITeam_en/status/1488802429151809536

Troops from Chechnya on the way to Krasnodar https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488868544737595392?cxt=HHwWgMCy5bKDw6kpAAAA

geo localization https://twitter.com/kromark/status/1488863143732424707

Maskirovka https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1488717605238099975?cxt=HHwWjsCy8cex_qgpAAAA

British supreme commander sees „land, sea & air exercises, on a scale never seen before“ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488512514728120322

Heightened activity of russian trolls on Twitter. Hardly a post without a first commentary with russian friendly sound.

EW-system in Belarus https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488745284243005442

Explanation on Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krasukha_(electronic_warfare_system)

Wagner-mercenaries are leaving Africa en route to Ukraine https://www.yahoo.com/news/notorious-russian-mercenaries-pulled-africa-014749545.html?

NATO weak in Baltic States https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/02/nato-baltic-states-sea-russia-military-defense/

Developments Ukraine 1st of February Part II

Russia stops exports of Ammonium nitrate for two months beginning 2nd of February https://twitter.com/kannbwx/status/1488587024755924992 AN is used for fertilizers, explosives and rocket propellants

Source Interfax https://www.interfax.ru/business/819664

Nine recce fligths today https://twitter.com/ameliairheart/status/1488595550740140040?cxt=HHwWkMC-gYfxxqgpAAAA

Pentagon see Russia ready to rumble  https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488608100080762888?cxt=HHwWkICq8cLLzKgpAAAA

Boris Johnson speaks of „clear and present danger“ https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1488592331343290374?cxt=HHwWjICz0dS1xagpAAAA

United Emirates are an important hub for Russian weapons https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1488600200419717120

Experts estimate 180.000 to 200.000 Russiand troops amassed near Ukraine https://twitter.com/MarkUrban01/status/1488572832422445058

Heightened helicopter activity at Kerch https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1488472366397153285?cxt=HHwWioCzkeTujqgpAAAA

Developments Ukraine 1st of February

Open Facto exposes Psyops-Net of GRU https://twitter.com/openfacto/status/1486829290301931525?cxt=HHwWioC-oZXXo6IpAAAA

Fears for undersea cables https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/cord-cutting-russian-style-could-the-kremlin-sever-global-internet-cables/

NATO-Recce yesterday https://twitter.com/ameliairheart/status/1488287400451362817

Rochan Consulting counts 52 Iskander TELs near Ukraine https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1488255448084062210

The answer drom Moscow https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/01/31/russia-responds-writing-us-proposal-ukraine-crisis/